Short-term disruptions, long-term consequences
Energy markets are often described as short-memory systems. Prices spike, conditions normalise, and attention moves on. This perception is increasingly
Energy markets are often described as short-memory systems. Prices spike, conditions normalise, and attention moves on. This perception is increasingly
Volatility used to be treated as a market-specific phenomenon. Electricity was volatile because demand had to be balanced in real
In an integrated energy system, shocks no longer respect sectoral boundaries. What begins as a local disruption, a technical failure,
For decades, Europe’s energy debate was organised around sectors. Electricity policy was discussed in terms of generation mix and grid
For most of the past three decades, Europe treated electricity, natural gas, and oil as adjacent but fundamentally separate markets.
Energy markets are often analysed as abstractions: prices, curves, spreads, marginal costs. Infrastructure appears in these models as a constraint,
South-East Europe does not sit on the periphery of Europe’s energy system. It sits at its edge in a different
Energy trading was once about exploiting inefficiencies. Price differences across regions, fuels, or time horizons were treated as opportunities for
For decades, energy economics was built around capacity. Installed megawatts, pipeline diameters, storage volumes, and reserve margins were treated as
For much of the past two decades, oil was treated as a declining force in Europe’s electricity story. As power
For most of the modern history of European energy policy, electricity, natural gas, and oil were treated as adjacent but
For decades, electricity was treated by industry as a predictable input. Prices fluctuated within narrow bands, supply security was largely