European electricity prices fall across most markets as renewable output and demand dynamics drive weekly divergence

During the fourth week of April, prices declined across most major European electricity markets. As a result, weekly average prices were lower compared to the previous week in the majority of cases. However, the United Kingdom stood out with a 4.7% price increase. In the MIBEL market, averages remained close to previous week levels, with Spain recording a slight rise of 0.1%, while Portugal saw a marginal decline of 0.2%. In contrast, France registered the most pronounced drop, with prices falling by 89%. In other analyzed markets by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, declines ranged from 11% in Italy to 59% in the Nordic region.

During the week of April 20, weekly average prices stayed below 70 €/MWh in most European electricity markets. The United Kingdom and Italy were exceptions, with averages of 108.54 €/MWh and 109.12 €/MWh, respectively. At the lower end, France recorded the weakest weekly average at just 7.62 €/MWh, while other markets ranged from 39.75 €/MWh in the Nordics to 67.36 €/MWh in the Netherlands.

On a daily basis, France recorded the lowest average price of the week among the analyzed markets, reaching 40.83 €/MWh on Sunday, April 26, which also marked its lowest level since June 17, 2013. On the same day, the Dutch market posted a daily price of 12.95 €/MWh, its lowest since October 6, 2025.

At the other end of the spectrum, Italy and the United Kingdom consistently recorded daily prices above 100 €/MWh throughout most of the week. Belgium and the Netherlands also briefly exceeded this level on April 20. The Italian market reached the highest daily average of the week on April 22, at 120.07 €/MWh, among all analyzed markets.

Overall, during the week of April 20, lower electricity demand combined with higher wind and solar generation across most markets pushed prices downward across Europe. However, reduced wind and solar output in Spain contributed to a slight upward pressure on prices in that market. According to forecasts from AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, electricity prices in Europe could rise in the final week of April, driven primarily by lower wind generation, while gas price movements are also expected to play a key role in shaping market direction, AleaSoft reports.

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